“Superforecasting” by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner
The Art and Science of Prediction
The theory, simply put, is that an organized collection of well-informed people can predict events as well as professional prognosticators. If so, think of the possibilities of organizing and informing a large citizenry about issues of concern and relying on their judgement to explore solutions; absent professional input.
Can well-meaning, well-informed residents, business people and visitors come up with answers to complex social and economic issues? If so, as opined by the authors, their findings can be applied, with rigor, as a new approach and use for citizen participation.
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